Cape Town Property Market : All in all, 2017 was a bad year for South Africa. As if credit rating downgrades, a lack of economic growth, growing reports of state capture, and soaring fuel and food prices weren’t enough, we also had to contend with a president who seemingly reshuffled his cabinet on a whim, removing respected ministers and replacing them with people with little or no experience in the key positions to which they had been appointed. The rand was severely affected by all this and as investor confidence dipped, so did the value of the currency.
The news that Cyril Ramaphosa had been elected president of the ANC was well received by the markets and the rand strengthened almost immediately. We are not out of the woods just yet, although rating agency Moody’s noted that Ramaphosa’s election opened up a tentative possibility of a ‘credit positive’ shift in SA policy and an increase in business confidence. Fitch on the other hand stated that although the full repercussions of Ramaphosa’s victory will be far-reaching, they are likely to remain unpredictable ahead of the 2019 elections.
We have collated some recent comments by leading real estate people in South Africa, here are a few snippets. Overall the summary is that 2018 will be a buyers market in the Cape Town Property Market.
Market Commentators Predictions for the Cape Town Property Market:
“Global financial markets have responded positively to Ramaphosa’s election, with the rand in particular rallying strongly, thereby reducing pressure on the Reserve Bank to raise interest rates. If the new ANC president is able to deliver on the market’s perceptions of a shift in SA’s political and hence economic fortunes, there is likely to be considerable pent-up demand for property – as both business and consumer confidence is likely to rebound strongly from current subdued levels.”
“When it comes to buoyancy in the property market, confidence is a major driver. The drop in the petrol price bodes well, and there’s encouraging talk about an interest rate cut…all clear confidence boosters. If the banks ease up on their stringent lending conditions this year, this will further stimulate the lower end of the market, and if stock levels subside at the higher end, we’ll see growth”
“Whereas it was a sellers’ market until early 2016, we saw a progressive shift in 2017 which manifested in lower demand, rising stock levels combined with a decline in buyer confidence, flat price growth and deals taking longer to conclude. The outcome is that we head into 2018 with a buyers market for most areas, even some Cape locations.“Even the stand-out Cape Town is beginning to slow down although it continues to benefit from a broad base of demand such as the constant flow of semi-grating buyers from other areas, investment and holiday demand”
“Fuelled by real demand, we predict that Cape Town will continue to see positive house price growth in 2018. While the very steep upward curve we are currently seeing may flatten marginally, Cape Town will remain a lucrative investment destination from both a capital growth and rental income perspective as the current growth is not a bubble”